{"id":19023,"date":"2020-12-03T09:49:01","date_gmt":"2020-12-03T09:49:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.uwb.edu\/?p=19023"},"modified":"2023-06-08T18:24:17","modified_gmt":"2023-06-08T18:24:17","slug":"coronavirus-vaccine-uncertainties","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.uwb.edu\/news\/2020\/12\/03\/coronavirus-vaccine-uncertainties","title":{"rendered":"Vaccine benefits outweigh uncertainties"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"Dan
Dan Bustillos. Marc Studer photo<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The speed at which vaccines have been developed for the COVID-19 virus reminds Dan Bustillos of President John F. Kennedy\u2019s bold commitment in 1961 to land a man on the moon within the decade. Apollo 11 did it in 1969.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

By analogy, the vaccine development has been a moonshot in one year, said the assistant professor in the School of Nursing & Health Studies<\/a> at the University of Washington Bothell. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bustillos wants to be one of the first in line for inoculation, when he is eligible. But the vaccines have been developed so fast, they also come with a dose of doubt, he said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWill this be Apollo 11 or Apollo 13?\u201d he asks, referring to the aborted 1970 lunar mission. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Development process <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Books will be written about the coronavirus vaccines. Authors will examine all the things that could have been done better. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At this point, Bustillos said, it\u2019s clear the warp-speed development is also the source of many uncertainties. \u201cIs it as safe as it could be? No, because we\u2019re doing this in a very rushed fashion,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

For example, the first two promising vaccines use a messenger RNA genetic mechanism that has never before been used that way. \u201cWhat makes therapeutics safe is a long history of research, whether for a drug or vaccine. And we\u2019re not going to have that because of time,\u201d Bustillos said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We don\u2019t know how long the vaccinations will last, how they might impact different groups, or whether immunized people might still spread the virus. Logistical hurdles, such as super-cold storage and double-shot vaccinations, can also be problematic, especially for developing nations, Bustillos said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Campaigns to raise awareness about coronavirus vaccination and to encourage participation will have to manage expectations and overcome fears and misconceptions. Vaccine skeptics might decline to participate, Bustillos said, and that would make it difficult to reach the estimated 70% to 90% vaccination rate needed for herd immunity in the population. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A matter of confidence <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bustillos, who teaches health policy and health care ethics, expects more misinformation to come on social media. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Don\u2019t be alarmed by anecdotes of adverse vaccinations, he advised. \u201cWe have to be vigilant about a misinformation campaign.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is important for people to seek out reputable journalism and sources such as the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Food and Drug Administration, and the World Health Organization, he said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to Bustillos, it was a huge misstep for the FDA, under pressure from the White House, to authorize emergency use of hydroxychloroquine in March. The authorization was revoked in June, but public trust was weakened. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThat was tragic, because at this point the FDA needs to be beyond reproach,\u201d Bustillos said. \u201cI\u2019m still pretty confident that scientists who are nonpartisan at the FDA and CDC will not allow anything that is ineffective or extremely dangerous to come out.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Long after vaccinations have started, masking and physical distancing may still be required to prevent further spread of the coronavirus. It could be the second half of 2021 or even early 2022 before daily life begins to resemble pre-pandemic times, Bustillos predicted. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIt\u2019s quite possible we won\u2019t be back to going to the ballgame before spring training 2022.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The harm-benefit balance <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Unfortunately, a small number of people die every year from current, established vaccinations. The risk from the new coronavirus vaccines is likely to be higher, Bustillos said. Yet, weighed against the pandemic, vaccination is a no-brainer \u2014 less risky than climbing into a car, he said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the past, vaccines have had years, not months, to prove they work safely, Bustillos said, so the shortened time span now is cause for some concern but not panic. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWhile there are lots of uncertainties and things that could and should be done better, there\u2019s reason to be very optimistic about this,\u201d he said. \u201cIn any case, it seems quite likely that the benefit of this vaccine \u2014 even despite possible drawbacks and harms \u2014 far outweighs the harm from COVID-19. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAt the end of the day,\u201d Bustillos said, \u201cI want to be one of those people who gets it as quickly as possible.\u201d <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Despite uncertainties about coronavirus vaccines, the benefits outweigh the risks, says Dan Bustillos, assistant professor in the School of Nursing & Health Studies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_is_archived":false,"_archived_contact_email":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[202,249,229,252],"tags":[],"school":[420],"class_list":["post-19023","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campus-news","category-coronavirus","category-faculty","category-population-health","school-school-of-nhs"],"acf":{"related_links":{"toggle_visibility":false,"link_1":null,"link_2":null,"link_3":null,"link_4":null,"link_5":null},"highlight_box":{"toggle_visibility":false,"title":"","content":"","button":null,"button_style":"angled-purple-button","button_screen_reader_text":""},"contact_type_1":{"toggle_visibility":true,"contact_title":"","email":"","phone":"","box":"","address_line_1":"","address_line_2":"","location":""},"contact_type_2":{"toggle_visibility":false,"contact_title":"","email":"","phone":"","box":"","address_line_1":"","address_line_2":"","location":""},"social_media":{"toggle_visibility":false,"facebook_url":"","instagram_url":"","linkedin_url":"","twitter_url":"","youtube_url":""},"blog_archive_sidebar_visibility":false},"yoast_head":"\nVaccine benefits outweigh uncertainties - 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